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Orbit Weekly Update — June 6, 2026 - luna3.ai

Orbit Weekly Update — June 6, 2026

Orbit Weekly Update — June 6, 2026

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Key PointsAbout This Summary iAn AI tool helped create this summary based on the text of the article. The Luna3 team has checked it for accuracy and revised as necessary. Read more about how we use AI in our publishing process.
  • KEEL leads Orbit at +45.3% since screened — 28% of the board is above entry
  • Median return -4.5%, mean -3.4% across 53 tracked names
  • Top 20% cohort averaging +20.8% — AI/compute infrastructure and defense names dominate

It was a rough week for risk, and Orbit’s board wore it. Seven days ago, 58% of the names Orbit had screened sat above their entry, with a +5.7% median and a +6.6% mean — the kind of spread where the upper tail does the heavy lifting. That picture has now inverted: just 28% of the board remains above entry, the median has flipped to -4.5%, and the mean sits at -3.4%.

The damage came from a two-day, growth-to-value flush. Broadcom’s AI-chip guidance miss on Wednesday repriced the entire semiconductor and AI-infrastructure complex, and Friday’s hot May payrolls print (172,000 jobs versus roughly 85,000 expected) slammed the door on near-term rate cuts — a direct hit to the high-beta, long-duration names that dominate Orbit’s board. KEEL held up best, still +45.3% since screened, but even it gave back ground from last week’s +60.9%. The weakest name now sits at -49.2%, against -21.5% a week ago. This was a regime stress test — the engine’s edge shows in how the top cohort holds up through it, not just on green weeks.

What Orbit is

Orbit is Luna3.ai’s AI-augmented research engine. It blends twelve algorithmic signals with a gradient-boosted machine-learning model, then layers an agentic LLM analyst on top that reads each top pick’s filings and writes a daily thesis tagged with a conviction score and a catalyst-proximity read. Entry price and date freeze the moment a name clears the screen, so what you see below is the actual setup Orbit flagged in real time — not a back-edited record.

The scorecard

Up since screened
28%
Median return
-4.5%
Mean return
-3.4%
Best signal
KEEL +45.3%

Across every screened name, returns since screened span +45.3% at the top to -49.2% at the bottom.

The aggregate read is straightforward. 28% of names on Orbit’s board are above their screened entry, the median return is -4.5%, and the mean is -3.4% — the mean sitting above the median, a sign the surviving winners are still doing real work against a broadly red tape. Not every screen works, and after this week a clear majority of the cohort sits below where Orbit first flagged it.

The top 20% since screened

Top 20% — equal-weight since screened
+20.8%
Range KEEL +45.3% to ERAS +12.5%
Combined (sum of gains): +207.8%
# Ticker Company Entry Now Since screened Past week Source Screened Industry Mkt Cap
1 KEEL Keel Infrastructure $3.53 $5.13 +45.3% -8.7% Tier 1 2026-05-07 Capital Markets $3.1B
2 ASPI ASP Isotopes Inc. $5.50 $6.71 +22.0% -13.6% Track H 2026-05-07 Chemicals $845M
3 STUB StubHub $7.63 $9.29 +21.8% -5.2% Tier 2 2026-05-07 Internet Content & Information $3.5B
4 CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. $49.65 $60.46 +21.8% +14.2% Agent pick 2026-05-28 Engineering & Construction $925M
5 ALOY Almonty Industries $10.42 $12.48 +19.8% +28.3% Tier 3 2026-05-07 Other Industrial Metals & Mining $764M
6 RCAT Red Cat $10.59 $12.68 +19.7% -10.4% Tier 2 2026-05-07 Aerospace & Defense $1.9B
7 BTDR Bitdeer $14.85 $17.47 +17.6% -5.0% Tier 2 2026-05-07 Software – Application $4.3B
8 ATEN A10 Networks, Inc. $26.80 $30.57 +14.1% +4.5% Track H 2026-05-07 Software – Infrastructure $2.2B
9 ONDS Ondas $9.21 $10.43 +13.2% -21.3% Tier 3 2026-05-07 Communication Equipment $5.3B
10 ERAS Erasca $10.64 $11.97 +12.5% -1.9% Tier 2 2026-05-07 Biotechnology $3.7B

What changed since last week

7 of last week’s top ten held their place in the cohort — KEEL, ASPI, STUB, RCAT, BTDR, ONDS, ERAS — but every one gave back ground, and all printed red past-week moves. Ondas was the hardest hit at -21.3% on the week, its since-screened gain compressing to +13.2%, with ASPI, RCAT and KEEL close behind. The three names that climbed into the top 20% tell the rotation story: Almonty Industries (ALOY, +28.3% on the week), Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (CDNL, +14.2% on the week), A10 Networks, Inc. (ATEN, +4.5% on the week) were the only green past-week movers on the board — critical minerals, infrastructure and networking sidestepping the AI-capex repricing that hammered the compute and defense leaders. CLSK, KTOS, JOBY dropped out of the cohort entirely. KEEL keeps the top spot at +45.3% since screened, though its cushion is roughly 16 points thinner than a week ago.

How to read the board

Orbit’s screen has two parts: a fundamental and quant track screen, and a technical pre-rally screen. The “Source” column tells you which layer first surfaced each name. Tier 1, 2 and 3 are the top conviction layer — names that cleared both parts of the screen and earned an agentic catalyst review on top, with Tier 1 the highest conviction. The “Track H” tag means Orbit’s H fundamental track caught the name and the technical pattern confirmed it, without the agent review the tiers receive. “Agent pick” is a name surfaced directly by the LLM analyst.

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Orbit is Luna3.ai’s AI-augmented research engine. 12 algorithmic signals + a gradient-boosted ML model + an agentic LLM that reads each top pick’s filings and writes a daily thesis with conviction score and catalyst proximity. Three regimes, three playbooks — growth in expansion, defensives in late-cycle, recovery plays at panic bottoms. The 3 in Luna3.ai.

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