Orbit’s top pick is up +58.4% from the price it was screened at, and 40% of the names on the board are sitting above their entry. That is the read this week.

What Orbit is

Orbit is Luna3.ai’s AI-augmented research engine. It pulls together twelve algorithmic signals and a gradient-boosted machine-learning model, then hands the shortlist to an agentic LLM that reads each top pick’s filings and writes a daily thesis, a conviction score, and a catalyst-proximity read. The moment Orbit screens a name, that entry price and date are frozen — every return you see on the board is measured from there, not from a later, more flattering print.

The scorecard

Across every screened name, returns since screened span +58.4% at the top to -54.7% at the bottom.

The aggregate read is mixed and honest. 40% of the screened names are in the green from their Orbit entry, the median return is -3.6%, and the mean is -2.0%. The right tail is doing the heavy lifting — KEEL alone is up +58.4% — while a chunk of the middle is grinding sideways or red. Not every screen works; some names sit below their entry.

The top 20% since screened

The leaders cluster around a handful of themes rather than a single trade. AI and compute infrastructure is the loudest signal — KEEL’s HPC/AI conversion thesis, CLSK’s hyperscaler talks and ERCOT-approved capacity, BTDR’s AI capacity build-out, and Cardinal Infrastructure’s engineering-and-construction exposure all sit in the top half. Defense and drones show up through KTOS, riding Valkyrie production and a stack of Space Force and Marine Corps awards. Isotope chemistry surfaces via ASPI. Binary-catalyst biotech is represented by ERAS, where the next ERAS-0015 combo data and the ERAS-4001 pan-KRAS Phase 1 readout sit in H2. Software and IP round out the table through ATEN, BLZE, and ADEA.

How to read the board

Orbit’s screen has two parts: a fundamental/quant track screen and a technical pre-rally screen. The Source column tells you which layer first surfaced a name. Tier 1, 2, and 3 are the top conviction layer — those names cleared both parts of the screen and earned an agentic catalyst review on top, with Tier 1 being the highest conviction. A Track tag (you’ll see Track D, Track G, and Track H on this board) means one of Orbit’s A–H fundamental tracks caught the name and the technical pattern confirmed it, without the agentic review the Tier picks get. Agent pick means the LLM analyst surfaced the name directly.

Three to know

KEEL (Keel Infrastructure) — Tier 1, +58.4%. The rebrand from Bitfarms completed in April 2026, and the story has shifted from bitcoin mining to HPC and AI compute hosting. The load-bearing piece is the Washington site conversion — an 18MW HPC/AI build-out under a binding $128M deal, with a target completion in December 2026. That target date is the next thing the market will price.

STUB (StubHub) — Tier 2, +50.2%. The marketplace has been quietly working two parallel stories: an Anthropic Claude integration live since April 2026 that’s now showing traction in conversion data, and a FIFA World Cup revenue tailwind worth roughly four points of revenue. The Q2 print is the next checkpoint where both threads meet the numbers.

KTOS (Kratos Defense) — Tier 2, +8.0%. Kratos is ramping Valkyrie unmanned aircraft production from eight to forty units per year, anchored by a $231.5M Marine Corps program-of-record. Layered on top is an April Space Force missile-warning award worth $446.8M and a FY26 revenue guide of $1.6–1.7B. The Q2 earnings print will show whether the ramp is converting to revenue on schedule.

Bottom line

The names doing the work at the top of the board share one trait: a dated, near-term catalyst the market can price — a completion target, an earnings print, a data readout, a production ramp milestone. That is what Orbit and the Luna3 stack are designed to surface. The single thing to watch next period is the H2 biotech readout calendar around ERAS — a clean print there would meaningfully change the shape of the cohort.

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